'the Future'! what science fiction writers totally missed.
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a 'casual' Hub about the predictions made by writers of science fiction.
I grew up reading the science fiction written during the period of time that has come to be referred to as 'The Golden Age of Science Fiction'. Coming of age in the 1960s I was blessed to have the perfect Cultural backdrop to complement the stories that consumed my attention from ages 6 to 16 ( a bit of a 'late-bloomer', psycho-sexually speaking, aka a nerd). Looking back now, I did not feel that I was deprived, I had my books telling me stories of a future without limits, a future where the solution to any problem was inspiration, technology and a hero with a sense of humor. Though I was not aware of it at the time, the culture I lived in was being totally beguiled by the promise of a bright and clean future, courtesy of that peculiarly American belief in the lone genius inventor and (a) mighty industrial infrastructure.
In any event, I had the Big Three (and a lot of other favorite SF writers), the big 3 being:
- Asimov
- Clarke
- Heinlein
the other favorites:
- Bester
- Sheckley
- Dickson
- Aldiss
- Pohl
- Bloch
- Niven
- Anderson
Too many others to mention (except for one...), in any event, to the question, 'What did they all miss about the Future'?
The role of computers and the new forms of communication that (this) technology engendered. Many writers referred to computers, and other artificial intelligence in their depiction of the future and otherwise employed the concept the computer in their stories, but none (among the Golden Age authors) envisioned the ubiquity of the small, portable personal use-as-an-appliance type computer.
Asimov did, however, write a short, short story that was a curious reversal of the development of personal computing, 'The Feeling of Power' Nations engaged in war using guided missiles that are hindered by the increasing size and complexity of the computers that must be built into them, someone 're-discovers' that a man can do the math (necessary to plot the missiles course) thereby increasing the efficiency of the weapons.
If we all agree that the ubiquitous personal computer is the biggest 'miss' by the science fiction writers of the Golden Age, the next questions surely must be, 'where were they the most accurate (in their predictions)'?
I will dodge this question and propose to answer a slightly modified question in the same vein. Which writer and/or novel, from the 1950s and 1960s came closest to describing the 'future' that has actually come to pass?
John Brunner 'Stand on Zanzibar' This book, written in 1968 is so prophetic, so accurate that it is scary. What makes his vision of the future so spot on is the social implications of the applications of increasingly advanced technology. You need to keep trying to remember what the world was like in 1968 as you read this book. I could list all of the details about life in the 21st Century that Brunner anticipated, but the list would comprise an additional hub. Suffice to say that what I am most impressed by is how he got the change in day to day life in a large city, from civic accommodations to an intractable problem of homelessness to the idea that corporations attempting to re-write a sovereign nations Constitution to it's own benefit.
In any event, the heck with HG Wells or Jules Verne or any of those other guys, go and read 'Stand on Zanzibar'.
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I'm with nycgrl. Will read this book next although I must admit I may have read it eons ago. I have always been impressed by these "seers literati". Anything conceived by the mind is possible. At some point in time.
Thanks for the article!
Sounds like an interesting read! Thanks! :)
Hi, my brother and I also read Asimov, Clarke and Heinlein, especially my brother, and the one thing that struck me even back then was that Authors are the real inventors, someone may make the object but the author is the idea behind it, most things I think do come from them, but as you say, other things are missing, mind you I can't wait for the Skycar!
Interesting subject. I sometimes have the feeling that some science fiction is channelled work.
And about the 'need' to talk/chat/text. I don't even take my cell phone with me when I go out. Much to many of my friends/family members agrivation lol. Most of the time I can't even find the thing.
And when on Facebook I always turn the chat option off.
Hi, I think before, kids especially always needed to get to friends etc so they can chat, now they can all the time! I do think people use phones for useless chatter, you only have to listen to kids walking past you to know that! lol I sometimes find a cell phone is very intrusive especially when you are out and want a bit of peace and quiet!
You obviously read a different type of sci-fi than I usually do. Micheal Crichton's The Andromeda Strain left me amazed at how much was supposed about the potential speed and use of computers. It has always made me wonder how many of the other topics he wrote on will become a reality.
I think that it is a great idea to write an additional hub and make a list of the predictions of "Things to Come." I think readers would find it fascinating.
Hi, just came by to say thanks for reading my hub, I left a message on mine, but not sure if you will see it, I tried to download my photos from my phone, but it says something about missing a driver? I was thinking chauffeur! ha ha but seriously, I tried to look at the Nokia site, but that just confused me, any ideas? thanks!
Hi, I did it! I just sent you an email, but sorry the photo isn't very good as its quite a bad picture by that phone, if I could have downloaded it maybe it would have come out really good, let me know okay? I'll try again! lol
Great topic. I too would like to check the books out myself. Well written.
Hey clark! Very Good and Interesting Hub. Thanks for sharing.:)
voted up, interesting, useful.
with respect
from SHANAYA:)
Hi, hope you had a great Christmas and New Year!
Hi just popped over TO THE Doctrine, but my pc is playing up so I couldn't comment on the what would you change aspect! in simple terms, my personality flits from one to the other, one day a clark another a rodger etc! lol! I try to push myself more, but then people get in the way! so I dive back to the old me again! bit like an elastic band! ha ha! what does that come under?















nycgrl Level 1 Commenter 11 months ago
Very interesting, I really want to go read that now and see all the stuff he got right. The other day on CNN.com they featured a news story that was done back in 1994 where they pretty much predicted the Kindle and iPad. Its really cool to read things from back then and see what they got right on our world now. Voted up!