'the Future'! what science fiction writers totally missed.

64

By clark farley

a 'casual' Hub about the predictions made by writers of science fiction.

I grew up reading the science fiction written during the period of time that has come to be referred to as 'The Golden Age of Science Fiction'. Coming of age in the 1960s I was blessed to have the perfect Cultural backdrop to complement the stories that consumed my attention from ages 6 to 16 ( a bit of a 'late-bloomer', psycho-sexually speaking, aka a nerd). Looking back now, I did not feel that I was deprived, I had my books telling me stories of a future without limits, a future where the solution to any problem was inspiration, technology and a hero with a sense of humor. Though I was not aware of it at the time, the culture I lived in was being totally beguiled by the promise of a bright and clean future, courtesy of that peculiarly American belief in the lone genius inventor and (a) mighty industrial infrastructure.
In any event, I had the Big Three (and a lot of other favorite SF writers), the big 3 being:

  1. Asimov
  2. Clarke
  3. Heinlein

the other favorites:

  • Bester
  • Sheckley
  • Dickson
  • Aldiss
  • Pohl
  • Bloch
  • Niven
  • Anderson

Too many others to mention (except for one...), in any event, to the question, 'What did they all miss about the Future'?

The role of computers and the new forms of communication that (this) technology engendered. Many writers referred to computers, and other artificial intelligence in their depiction of the future and otherwise employed the concept the computer in their stories, but none (among the Golden Age authors) envisioned the ubiquity of the small, portable personal use-as-an-appliance type computer.
Asimov did, however, write a short, short story that was a curious reversal of the development of personal computing, 'The Feeling of Power' Nations engaged in war using guided missiles that are hindered by the increasing size and complexity of the computers that must be built into them, someone 're-discovers' that a man can do the math (necessary to plot the missiles course) thereby increasing the efficiency of the weapons.

If we all agree that the ubiquitous personal computer is the biggest 'miss' by the science fiction writers of the Golden Age, the next questions surely must be, 'where were they the most accurate (in their predictions)'?
I will dodge this question and propose to answer a slightly modified question in the same vein. Which writer and/or novel, from the 1950s and 1960s came closest to describing the 'future' that has actually come to pass?

John Brunner 'Stand on Zanzibar' This book, written in 1968 is so prophetic, so accurate that it is scary. What makes his vision of the future so spot on is the social implications of the applications of increasingly advanced technology. You need to keep trying to remember what the world was like in 1968 as you read this book. I could list all of the details about life in the 21st Century that Brunner anticipated, but the list would comprise an additional hub. Suffice to say that what I am most impressed by is how he got the change in day to day life in a large city, from civic accommodations to an intractable problem of homelessness to the idea that corporations attempting to re-write a sovereign nations Constitution to it's own benefit.

In any event, the heck with HG Wells or Jules Verne or any of those other guys, go and read 'Stand on Zanzibar'.

Comments

nycgrl profile image

nycgrl Level 1 Commenter 11 months ago

Very interesting, I really want to go read that now and see all the stuff he got right. The other day on CNN.com they featured a news story that was done back in 1994 where they pretty much predicted the Kindle and iPad. Its really cool to read things from back then and see what they got right on our world now. Voted up!

clark farley profile image

clark farley Hub Author 11 months ago

the Brunner book is amazing for the 'tone' of the future world he posits, especially when compared to (the vision) of other scifi writers of the day.

It is not a light-hearted optimistic future, he describes, but well worth the read.

GirlieOnTheEdge 11 months ago

I'm with nycgrl. Will read this book next although I must admit I may have read it eons ago. I have always been impressed by these "seers literati". Anything conceived by the mind is possible. At some point in time.

Thanks for the article!

justmesuzanne profile image

justmesuzanne Level 5 Commenter 11 months ago

Sounds like an interesting read! Thanks! :)

Nell Rose profile image

Nell Rose Level 8 Commenter 10 months ago

Hi, my brother and I also read Asimov, Clarke and Heinlein, especially my brother, and the one thing that struck me even back then was that Authors are the real inventors, someone may make the object but the author is the idea behind it, most things I think do come from them, but as you say, other things are missing, mind you I can't wait for the Skycar!

clark farley profile image

clark farley Hub Author 10 months ago

lol, I too thought that when the Year 2000 came around we would be flying to the supermarket!

Given the change in the behavior of drivers (in my area) maybe it is just as well we do not have Skycars.

But this internet...I get a sense of how huge it's effect on the world is, but suspect that I do not have the skills to express (these effects).

But, (since you brought it up, lol) let me ask you a question I have been puzzling over of late; has the advent of the cellphone>texting>facebook>twitter provided more ways to satisfy the need to communicate (among people) or has it created a desire to communicate that was absent before technology produced the means.

(Another way to say this): do we talk/chat/text more now because we can or are we talking/chatting/texting more because we are being taught to?

LadyFae profile image

LadyFae Level 2 Commenter 10 months ago

Interesting subject. I sometimes have the feeling that some science fiction is channelled work.

And about the 'need' to talk/chat/text. I don't even take my cell phone with me when I go out. Much to many of my friends/family members agrivation lol. Most of the time I can't even find the thing.

And when on Facebook I always turn the chat option off.

Nell Rose profile image

Nell Rose Level 8 Commenter 10 months ago

Hi, I think before, kids especially always needed to get to friends etc so they can chat, now they can all the time! I do think people use phones for useless chatter, you only have to listen to kids walking past you to know that! lol I sometimes find a cell phone is very intrusive especially when you are out and want a bit of peace and quiet!

Ivorwen profile image

Ivorwen Level 1 Commenter 7 months ago

You obviously read a different type of sci-fi than I usually do. Micheal Crichton's The Andromeda Strain left me amazed at how much was supposed about the potential speed and use of computers. It has always made me wonder how many of the other topics he wrote on will become a reality.

clark farley profile image

clark farley Hub Author 7 months ago

hopefully not the main premise of (that particular book), although the idea (of un-controllable spread of disease) seems always popular.

I thought it might be an age thing, but I looked up the date for the book (Andromeda Strain), 1969 which is not that far off from Stand on Zanzibar.

Interesting point how some writers catch the future just right and others get one angle but miss a whole bunch.

Marlin 55 profile image

Marlin 55 Level 3 Commenter 7 months ago

I think that it is a great idea to write an additional hub and make a list of the predictions of "Things to Come." I think readers would find it fascinating.

Nell Rose profile image

Nell Rose Level 8 Commenter 7 months ago

Hi, just came by to say thanks for reading my hub, I left a message on mine, but not sure if you will see it, I tried to download my photos from my phone, but it says something about missing a driver? I was thinking chauffeur! ha ha but seriously, I tried to look at the Nokia site, but that just confused me, any ideas? thanks!

Nell Rose profile image

Nell Rose Level 8 Commenter 7 months ago

Hi, I did it! I just sent you an email, but sorry the photo isn't very good as its quite a bad picture by that phone, if I could have downloaded it maybe it would have come out really good, let me know okay? I'll try again! lol

clark farley profile image

clark farley Hub Author 7 months ago

Got it! Thank you*

Will work on something for tomorrow.

(Being a clark myself), I will risk sounding silly and ask the obvious: is it alright for me to use your photo in a Doctrine Post?

* god! what kind of hobby have I gotten myself into when half of my excitment over your sending the photo stems from the thought, 'thank god! I have a topic for a Post!'

thelyricwriter profile image

thelyricwriter Level 8 Commenter 7 months ago

Great topic. I too would like to check the books out myself. Well written.

shanaya profile image

shanaya Level 4 Commenter 6 months ago

Hey clark! Very Good and Interesting Hub. Thanks for sharing.:)

voted up, interesting, useful.

with respect

from SHANAYA:)

Nell Rose profile image

Nell Rose Level 8 Commenter 4 months ago

Hi, hope you had a great Christmas and New Year!

Nell Rose profile image

Nell Rose Level 8 Commenter 3 months ago

Hi just popped over TO THE Doctrine, but my pc is playing up so I couldn't comment on the what would you change aspect! in simple terms, my personality flits from one to the other, one day a clark another a rodger etc! lol! I try to push myself more, but then people get in the way! so I dive back to the old me again! bit like an elastic band! ha ha! what does that come under?

clark farley profile image

clark farley Hub Author 2 months ago

Comes under: Normal! lol

Actually (the Doctrine) holds that while we are 'predominately' one of the three types, we all retain the capability of seeing the world as do the other two.

"I try to push myself more, but then people get in the way! so I dive back to the old me"

if we were talking for the first time with this Comment I would be thinking 'clark', if for no other reason than we (clarks) are the only one of the three to feel that we can/should change and (when we are stymied in our efforts) it is usually.. 'people getting in the way'.

We are still finding that those people coming to the Doctrine are, for the most part, clarks. (We are the ones with the imagination and curiosity to find the fun in the Doctrine)...speaking of fun, this Friday's Video is from the previous week's Saturday Night Drive...so instead of me talking there are 3 clarks and 2 scotts! Much more fun, a bit raucous but good to hear alternate views.

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